Working papers and Work in Progress
The Price of Order: How Violent Crime Weakens Democracy
(with Anderson Frey) - pdf
Electoral results affect beliefs about the past: Evidence from Chile
(with Nicolás Ajzernman and Patrício Dominguez) - pdf
The Autocracy Bandwagon: Political Selection and Autocratic Consolidation
(with Guadalupe Tuñon) - [email for wp]
Political outsiders
(in preparation, with Natalia Garbiras-Diaz)
Ideology First: Physicians in Bolsonaro's Brazil
(in preparation, with Horacio Larreguy and Letícia Nunes)
Peer-Reviewed Publications
"Special Interest Trade-Offs: Campaign Finance Reforms and Religious Influence in Politics in Brazil"
(with Melani Cammett and Guadalupe Tuñon) - Journal of Politics, forthcoming. [pdf accepted manuscript]
"Bolsonaro's Botched Coup Attempt Exposed Political Fault Lines in the Brazilian Democracy" - Revista de Ciencia Politica (ahead of print, with Diego Werneck Arguelhes). [pdf]
"The Violence of Law and Order Politics: The Case of Law Enforcement Candidates in Brazil" - American Political Science Review 2024;118(1):1-20. [pdf], [dataverse]
Media: blog faces da violência, época, ponte, vice.
Award: Recipient of the 2024 Olavo Brasil Jr. Prize from the Brazilian Political Science Association, recognizing the best article published in the past two years.
"Media Manipulation in Young Democracies: Evidence from the 1989 Brazilian Presidential Election" - Comparative Political Studies 2024, Volume 67 Issue 2. (with Alexsandros Cavgias, Raphael Corbi, and Luis Meloni) [pdf],[dataverse]
"Commodity Shocks and Incumbency Effects" - British Journal of Political Science, (2022) 52(4), 1689-1708.(with Luis Schiumerini)[pdf],[dataverse]
"Disloyal Brokers and Weak Parties" - American Journal of Political Science 62.1 (2018) no. 1 84-98 [pdf],[dataverse]
Chapters in Edited Volumes
"The new left in broker-mediated party systems" in Kapiszewski, Levitsky and Yashar (eds.) The Inclusionary Turn in Latin American Democracies, Cambridge University Press (with Thad Dunning)[pdf]
Peer-Reviewed Publications, in Portuguese
"The effect of re-election on health expenditures: an analysis of the reputation-building model" - Brazilian Review of Political Economy (Revista de Economia Política) (2010) v. 30, p. 140-158. (with Enlinson Mattos, and in Portuguese)[pdf]
"Scale economies in the supply of health services: a study of São Paulo Municipalities" - Revista ANPEC, (2009) v. 10, p. 357-386. (with Paulo Arvate, Enlinson Mattos, Veronica Orellano, and Fabiana Rocha)
Non Peer-Reviewed
2021 - COMUNICANDO INCERTEZAS (with Pedro Burgos)
in Machado, Laura Mueller (org.) Legado de uma Pandemia. Autografia.
2010 - MEXICO CENTENNIAL: LIMITED INDEPENDENCE, LIMITED DEMOCRACY
(with Sinaia Urrusti-Frenk)
Berkeley Review of Latin American Studies